Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 15.259792 17.723078 20.399070 23.514617 27.034422 30.879741 35.390409
2025-08-24 10.729722 14.004016 17.920096 22.912724 29.068677 36.368159 45.631873
2025-08-31 7.892948 11.334468 15.782454 21.872977 29.903962 40.030192 53.646123
2025-09-07 6.533919 10.153904 15.138121 22.364022 32.407233 45.684721 64.338459
2025-09-14 5.535622 9.231131 14.611692 22.808852 34.726484 51.123391 75.016179
2025-09-21 4.562620 8.144482 13.645358 22.426065 35.736203 54.730521 83.338848
2025-09-28 3.749375 7.148327 12.641835 21.805522 36.246812 57.560404 90.644526
2025-10-05 3.515309 7.063846 13.035584 23.345651 40.088845 65.443838 105.711772
2025-10-12 3.255755 6.885303 13.235984 24.566033 43.495047 72.859512 120.498168
2025-10-19 2.888405 6.444108 12.922308 24.876051 45.431864 78.105288 132.255113
2025-10-26 2.553659 6.006188 12.550303 25.026259 47.082287 82.961390 143.635439
2025-11-02 2.201698 5.470593 11.924531 24.644938 47.770981 86.274002 152.706634
2025-11-09 1.852402 4.901026 11.204705 24.100923 48.285397 89.591988 162.444076
2025-11-16 1.539435 4.352650 10.457645 23.438022 48.564995 92.606775 172.019063
2025-11-23 1.245531 3.779521 9.565426 22.369715 47.977168 94.060207 179.031673
2025-11-30 1.117183 3.587448 9.459736 22.869025 50.373143 100.883829 195.625225
2025-12-07 1.002143 3.403541 9.342226 23.322298 52.703903 107.719828 212.603710
2025-12-14 0.852364 3.086166 8.862698 22.932005 53.310234 111.420693 224.194988
2025-12-21 0.713068 2.761094 8.308331 22.299319 53.348630 114.036882 233.937074
2025-12-28 0.696197 2.809750 8.698845 23.869487 58.096425 125.862731 261.177218
2026-01-04 0.664096 2.801963 8.941107 25.113483 62.238398 136.739841 287.160843
2026-01-11 0.597013 2.659670 8.803456 25.429474 64.394960 143.853884 306.405129
2026-01-18 0.531869 2.505980 8.609585 25.582572 66.197775 150.357819 324.789949